Here's a review of how to use HPHF Ratio Agreements, and an introduction to a new graph that illustrates implied regional prices.

The blog both addresses the question of how much the migration from California to Texas might impact the relative performance of home prices between the two areas, and offers a platform for users to financially express such views.

I've expanded on an earlier blog about how to use HPHF Ratio Agreements using Chicago as a hedging example.

An illustration of how users might hedge if they are worried about negative forecasts on home prices.

An open letter to attendees at NAR Expo @narannual suggesting that taking bite-sized exposures may be preferable to 100% Rent v 100% Buy v 100% Sale decisions their clients currently face.

I’ve compiled an interesting set of data that I’ll use to illustrate how the CME S&P Case Shiller home price index futures have traded over the last 7+ years. It may help traders understand how to better trade the contracts, as well as quirks within the contracts. I will be blogging about over the next few weeks, to include an analysis the robustness of contract prices in forecasting, contract biases, and volatility. I’m open to ideas on what readers might want to see, and would be open to slicing and dicing the information to address any longer-term questions.

Levels for home price index agreements via HPHF for five Texas cities

Suggested levels for OTC agreements on "Second 10" Case Shiller indices, for Feb 2020 expiration.