With the release of the quarterly Pulsenomics survey of 100+ home price forecasts, I raise this issue of how these forecasts look vs CME Case Shiller futures. I also offer a protocol where those interested can stake a view on forward Fannie Mae home prices.
I've posted a summary of quotes for the CME Case Shiller home price index futures as of March 31. The table includes prices changes since Dec 13, 2024, bid/ask spreads, and implied gains.
Intercity Spreads are a potentially useful tool that allows users to express a view on forward HPA between either two metros, or a metro and the 10-city index.
Want to buy/sell Atlanta home price indices for Feb '26, '27? Consider a combination of CME 10-city index futures and an HPHF Ratio Agreement. The combination is consistent with prices 2-3%> spot (for Feb '26).