With the Fed meeting today and Case Shiller #’s next week, I thought it might be useful to update market participants on 1) where recent market quotes are, and 2) how they’ve changed during the month, as stocks have sold off. All of the qualifiers I outlined in the original … Read More
Case Shiller quotes on Case Shiller futures are generally lower after this morning’s #’s (with the exception of CHI and WDC).
The table below shows quotes from sometime yesterday and this morning (~11 AM NY). As shown in the line “one day price moves” (which measures the change in mid-to-mid) … Read More
Yesterday’s Case Shiller #’s were both 1) outside bid/ask ranges on the expiring May16 contracts and 2) a reminder that there may be trading opportunities right up to the last days of trading.
The table above shows that 9 (!!!) of the Case Shiller indices were above the offered side … Read More
CME Case Shiller futures are slightly higher on the day after this morning’s release of the Case Shiller numbers for the period ending in February. There were 4 trades in May ’16 contracts this morning (DEN, LAX, and SFR (2)) bringing the MTD total to 13. (There was also the … Read More
Activity in the CME Case Shiller futures has been quiet after this morning’s release of the Case Shiller #’s covering the period ending in Jan. Some markets (as measured by mid-markets of the Nov 2016 contracts (X16)) were up slightly (e.g. LAV, LAX) while some markets were slightly lower (e.g. … Read More
The CME home price futures were relatively quiet after this morning’s release of the December Case Shiller #’s.
The first table below shows a comparison between the Feb CME markets from yesterday and today’s #’s. Note that there were four regions (CHI, LAV, LAX and SDG) where the index results … Read More
One of key features of using CME Case Shiller housing futures to infer home price expectations, is that in the long run the settlement price of the contract, that is, at expiration, is the index value released that month. For example, the current front Feb 2016 contract will stop trading … Read More
CME prices were mixed following this morning’s release of the Nov ’15 Case Shiller indices. The table below shows prices (as of earlier this morning) on the Nov ’16 contracts for all ten regions (plus the HCI/CUS 10-city index). Note that prices are modestly lower for BOS and LAV, but … Read More