Reconciling falling SA prices with higher forward levels

Over the last few months headlines have simultaneously touted rising AND falling home prices (or at least indices).  As seen in the table below, nominal, non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) home prices have continued to grind higher (albeit at ever slower implied HPA) while seasonally-adjusted (SA) home prices index values have declined … Read More

Basics: OK, so you’re bearish. What to do besides selling your house?

It seems that a growing numbers of commentators are becoming ever-louder in their bearish views.  Yet few give their readers any practical advice as to how to put this “knowledge” to work.  Are they suggesting that people sell their houses and rent?  I’m not suggesting that the pundits are wrong … Read More