The CME markets had a quiet reaction to this morning’s release of the Aug Case Shiller numbers. The table below shows change to the bids, ask and mid-market levels of the 11 Nov ’18 contracts. The areas highlighted in the row labeled “One day change (mid-mid)” reflect the two contracts … Read More
Those interested in seeing how other property market derivatives have evolved might it interesting to review the Eurex Property Derivatives Market. See link. These contracts are based on the total returns of MSCI-IPD UK Quarterly Indices for individual calendar years. The contract terms are outlined here. I’m told that the … Read More
The Wall Street Journal had an article Tuesday morning (see link) titled “Mortgage Break Faces Irrelevancy” which outlined possible impacts from proposed tax changes. The author (Laura Kusisto) quoted several sources each of whom suggested that, under the current proposal, fewer taxpayers would be able to take advantage … Read More
I sent this letter to participants in the Real Estate Derivative Summit being held in Zurich this week. While that was a conference focused on commercial real estate derivatives, and primarily focused on Europe, my sense was that there might be overlap between their goals and some of the work … Read More
UBS just updated their outlook of home price values in major cities around the world. (You can link here.) A major first impression is that while some publications question whether US prices are bubbling, the recent gains in home price indices in other countries (and they highlight Toronto … Read More
Quotes on the CME Case Shiller home price index futures are marginally higher this afternoon (relative to yesterday, and as measured by mid-market values) after this morning’s release of the Case Shiller indices. The biggest gain took place in the LAXX18 contract (where there was one trade today). DENX18 is … Read More
There’s have been 7 options trades this month (to go with 10 from August).
Here’s a table of my suggested offering labels. (Note table was updated for current spot values on Sept 21). Again, given the huge number of potential contracts (combining strikes, expirations, puts and calls) I’m only going … Read More
It seems incongruous that the only CME Case Shiller home price index contract that doesn’t have any OI (open interest) is LAV (Las Vegas). After all LAV is the mecca for placing bets on many events, yet there’s been no “action” on LAV. One might expect future LAV prices to … Read More
I recently did a trade in DEN.G18.P2000 (that is, puts on the Feb ’18 DEN contract with a strike of 200. Here’s a graph that shows the P&L of the trade, were one to sell (write) those options at a price of 4.0.
I think that this is a useful … Read More